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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129124050100150200250300117115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2582
#17
48.30.2
46.245.9
Auto13.4
Teleop25.7
End8.9
blue by 4.5
5414
#27
52.90.2
41.641.4
Auto10.6
Teleop34.9
End7.2
Second
42.30.2
38.137.8
Auto9.5
Teleop24.3
End8.6
blue by 4.6
46.90.2
38.938.7
Auto9.1
Teleop30.2
End7.1
Third
42.20.2
36.436.2
Auto10.5
Teleop23.5
End8.2
red by 1.5
8019
#12
40.60.2
36.936.8
Auto12.7
Teleop19.7
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsEarned15%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsEarned