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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143985020016798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6377
#14
54.71.5
48.550.0
Auto12.7
Teleop33.7
End8.2
red by 3.5
6800
#24
51.20.7
52.451.7
Auto11.3
Teleop31.7
End8.2
Second
1477
#18
53.21.5
50.251.7
Auto13.9
Teleop32.9
End5.9
red by 22.2
5613
#30
31.00.7
25.825.1
Auto8.3
Teleop15.9
End6.8
Third
9136
#15
41.11.5
30.131.7
Auto10.2
Teleop23.3
End7.7
red by 13.6
8827
#28
27.60.7
19.619.0
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsEarned15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned