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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107113050150200250300350400103129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.10.2
50.650.4
Auto12.8
Teleop33.3
End5.5
red by 5.0
3035
#16
47.11.2
37.638.8
Auto9.6
Teleop27.2
End10.3
Second
1255
#33
30.40.2
31.731.5
Auto10.9
Teleop15.1
End4.4
blue by 12.1
9140
#10
42.51.2
34.535.7
Auto11.9
Teleop23.7
End6.5
Third
9051
#36
20.00.2
18.718.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.9
End4.4
blue by 14.0
5923
#37
34.01.2
33.534.7
Auto8.5
Teleop21.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsMissed68%Activation oddsEarned