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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881235010015020082122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3679
#22
38.50.7
38.537.9
Auto10.7
Teleop18.1
End9.8
blue by 9.8
2582
#17
48.30.7
46.146.8
Auto13.4
Teleop25.7
End8.9
Second
9156
#26
32.50.7
29.829.1
Auto9.8
Teleop15.9
End6.7
blue by 4.3
2689
#21
36.80.7
35.035.8
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End7.2
Third
9051
#36
20.00.7
18.517.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.9
End4.4
blue by 14.1
7540
#32
34.10.7
30.231.0
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed41%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
66%Activation oddsMissed65%Activation oddsEarned