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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8415650100200250108141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.31.0
38.239.3
Auto9.5
Teleop24.3
End8.6
blue by 23.4
65.80.2
62.462.6
Auto16.0
Teleop41.3
End8.3
Second
4587
#25
30.01.0
25.726.7
Auto10.5
Teleop14.5
End4.9
blue by 17.1
3035
#16
47.10.2
37.337.6
Auto9.6
Teleop27.2
End10.3
Third
9181
#40
21.01.0
23.724.8
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End5.7
blue by 21.2
42.20.2
37.838.0
Auto10.5
Teleop23.5
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsEarned77%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned