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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1389550150200129102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#19
49.30.0
45.345.3
Auto10.9
Teleop30.1
End8.2
red by 6.3
42.90.5
32.933.5
Auto11.4
Teleop24.8
End6.6
Second
4063
#29
42.90.0
41.641.6
Auto10.4
Teleop24.7
End7.6
red by 1.9
5427
#13
41.00.5
36.136.6
Auto11.5
Teleop21.9
End7.3
Third
3802
#23
41.20.0
37.137.1
Auto12.7
Teleop20.6
End7.9
red by 10.2
5613
#30
31.00.5
25.325.8
Auto8.3
Teleop15.9
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
30%Sustainability oddsEarned18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
97%Activation oddsMissed73%Activation oddsEarned