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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11012850100150200104105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6377
#14
54.70.1
49.449.4
Auto12.7
Teleop33.7
End8.2
red by 1.5
1477
#18
53.21.2
52.751.5
Auto13.9
Teleop32.9
End5.9
Second
5923
#37
34.00.1
34.934.8
Auto8.5
Teleop21.4
End4.1
blue by 8.5
9140
#10
42.51.2
38.237.0
Auto11.9
Teleop23.7
End6.5
Third
8827
#28
27.60.1
20.820.7
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End8.7
red by 1.4
7503
#39
26.21.2
27.226.0
Auto7.6
Teleop10.1
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
30%Sustainability oddsEarned22%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsMissed88%Activation oddsMissed