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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821585010020025085126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4219
#20
38.20.1
32.832.7
Auto11.2
Teleop18.3
End8.7
blue by 13.9
52.10.8
51.450.5
Auto12.8
Teleop33.3
End5.5
Second
9054
#34
28.50.1
27.527.4
Auto9.1
Teleop11.5
End8.1
blue by 18.4
46.90.8
39.538.7
Auto9.1
Teleop30.2
End7.1
Third
4639
#31
26.60.1
26.326.2
Auto8.7
Teleop12.7
End5.2
blue by 17.0
5892
#11
43.70.8
47.646.8
Auto11.5
Teleop24.2
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed46%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
69%Activation oddsMissed81%Activation oddsMissed