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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1578650100200250156138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.91.2
61.262.4
Auto14.5
Teleop42.3
End8.4
red by 20.7
45.21.2
35.937.1
Auto13.3
Teleop24.4
End7.2
Second
53.31.2
45.046.2
Auto12.6
Teleop30.7
End10.1
red by 16.5
2689
#21
36.81.2
35.837.0
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End7.2
Third
9136
#15
41.11.2
32.133.2
Auto10.2
Teleop23.3
End7.7
red by 21.1
9051
#36
20.01.2
17.819.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsEarned9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsEarned