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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113912040608010014016018011283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9140
#10
42.50.1
37.036.9
Auto11.9
Teleop23.7
End6.5
blue by 0.4
4063
#29
42.90.7
41.640.9
Auto10.4
Teleop24.7
End7.6
Second
3802
#23
41.20.1
37.137.0
Auto12.7
Teleop20.6
End7.9
red by 13.7
8827
#28
27.60.7
20.720.0
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End8.7
Third
9156
#26
32.50.1
29.129.1
Auto9.8
Teleop15.9
End6.7
red by 6.3
7503
#39
26.20.7
26.025.3
Auto7.6
Teleop10.1
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsEarned