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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11413750100150200132162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#27
52.90.8
41.542.3
Auto10.6
Teleop34.9
End7.2
blue by 1.9
6377
#14
54.72.1
49.451.5
Auto12.7
Teleop33.7
End8.2
Second
42.90.8
33.534.3
Auto11.4
Teleop24.8
End6.6
blue by 4.1
3035
#16
47.12.1
37.639.7
Auto9.6
Teleop27.2
End10.3
Third
5923
#37
34.00.8
34.835.6
Auto8.5
Teleop21.4
End4.1
blue by 8.3
42.32.1
39.341.4
Auto9.5
Teleop24.3
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
41%Sustainability oddsEarned73%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
40%Activation oddsMissed96%Activation oddsEarned