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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10213950150200102139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.10.1
50.550.6
Auto12.8
Teleop33.3
End5.5
red by 0.8
6800
#24
51.20.9
50.951.8
Auto11.3
Teleop31.7
End8.2
Second
7540
#32
34.10.1
31.031.1
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End7.7
blue by 8.1
42.20.9
38.038.9
Auto10.5
Teleop23.5
End8.2
Third
2882
#35
28.20.1
19.019.1
Auto6.8
Teleop14.7
End6.7
blue by 12.9
5427
#13
41.00.9
36.637.5
Auto11.5
Teleop21.9
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsEarned38%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
70%Activation oddsMissed89%Activation oddsEarned