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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161179010011012013014011088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2582
#17
48.30.6
46.846.2
Auto13.4
Teleop25.7
End8.9
red by 4.7
5892
#11
43.71.5
46.845.3
Auto11.5
Teleop24.2
End8.0
Second
45.20.6
37.136.5
Auto13.3
Teleop24.4
End7.2
red by 8.3
2689
#21
36.81.5
37.035.5
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End7.2
Third
9080
#38
23.00.6
24.824.3
Auto4.2
Teleop14.2
End4.7
blue by 3.6
4639
#31
26.61.5
26.224.7
Auto8.7
Teleop12.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsMissed34%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned