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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126106406080140160180200135111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.30.9
46.247.1
Auto12.6
Teleop30.7
End10.1
red by 4.1
324
#19
49.30.6
45.345.9
Auto10.9
Teleop30.1
End8.2
Second
8019
#12
40.60.9
36.937.8
Auto12.7
Teleop19.7
End8.3
red by 9.6
5613
#30
31.00.6
25.826.4
Auto8.3
Teleop15.9
End6.8
Third
4219
#20
38.20.9
32.733.7
Auto11.2
Teleop18.3
End8.7
red by 7.8
1255
#33
30.40.6
30.831.4
Auto10.9
Teleop15.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
29%Sustainability oddsEarned20%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsMissed