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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135130100120140160180144175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#18
53.20.5
51.552.0
Auto13.9
Teleop32.9
End5.9
blue by 12.6
65.82.5
62.665.1
Auto16.0
Teleop41.3
End8.3
Second
46.90.5
38.739.2
Auto9.1
Teleop30.2
End7.1
red by 5.8
9136
#15
41.12.5
33.235.7
Auto10.2
Teleop23.3
End7.7
Third
3679
#22
38.50.5
37.938.4
Auto10.7
Teleop18.1
End9.8
red by 8.5
4587
#25
30.02.5
26.729.2
Auto10.5
Teleop14.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
38%Sustainability oddsEarned74%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned