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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117137406080100160180200106150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5892
#11
43.70.4
45.344.9
Auto11.5
Teleop24.2
End8.0
blue by 8.4
52.11.3
50.651.9
Auto12.8
Teleop33.3
End5.5
Second
42.30.4
41.441.0
Auto9.5
Teleop24.3
End8.6
blue by 0.6
4063
#29
42.91.3
40.942.2
Auto10.4
Teleop24.7
End7.6
Third
7503
#39
26.20.4
25.324.9
Auto7.6
Teleop10.1
End8.5
blue by 10.6
2689
#21
36.81.3
35.536.8
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsEarned50%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned