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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1299250150200119139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2582
#17
48.30.1
46.246.4
Auto13.4
Teleop25.7
End8.9
red by 7.3
5427
#13
41.02.2
37.539.7
Auto11.5
Teleop21.9
End7.3
Second
9140
#10
42.50.1
36.937.0
Auto11.9
Teleop23.7
End6.5
red by 10.0
9156
#26
32.52.2
29.131.2
Auto9.8
Teleop15.9
End6.7
Third
4219
#20
38.20.1
33.733.8
Auto11.2
Teleop18.3
End8.7
red by 11.5
4639
#31
26.62.2
24.726.9
Auto8.7
Teleop12.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsEarned