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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12313402004006008001,000144120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.31.5
47.148.6
Auto12.6
Teleop30.7
End10.1
red by 0.1
1477
#18
53.21.0
52.051.0
Auto13.9
Teleop32.9
End5.9
Second
42.21.5
38.940.4
Auto10.5
Teleop23.5
End8.2
red by 0.9
3802
#23
41.21.0
37.036.0
Auto12.7
Teleop20.6
End7.9
Third
7540
#32
34.11.5
31.132.5
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End7.7
Level
5923
#37
34.01.0
35.634.6
Auto8.5
Teleop21.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
53%Sustainability oddsMissed33%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsEarned