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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140160100150200250143147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#18
53.20.3
51.051.3
Auto13.9
Teleop32.9
End5.9
blue by 12.6
65.80.0
66.466.3
Auto16.0
Teleop41.3
End8.3
Second
6800
#24
51.20.3
52.652.9
Auto11.3
Teleop31.7
End8.2
red by 7.6
5892
#11
43.70.0
44.944.9
Auto11.5
Teleop24.2
End8.0
Third
9156
#26
32.50.3
31.231.5
Auto9.8
Teleop15.9
End6.7
blue by 10.5
42.90.0
36.336.3
Auto11.4
Teleop24.8
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
67%Sustainability oddsEarned94%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned