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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12393050150200105127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8019
#12
40.60.8
39.939.1
Auto12.7
Teleop19.7
End8.3
blue by 6.3
46.91.7
38.440.1
Auto9.1
Teleop30.2
End7.1
Second
2689
#21
36.80.8
36.836.1
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End7.2
red by 6.8
4587
#25
30.01.7
31.333.0
Auto10.5
Teleop14.5
End4.9
Third
5923
#37
34.00.8
34.633.9
Auto8.5
Teleop21.4
End4.1
red by 6.5
8827
#28
27.61.7
21.323.0
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsEarned19%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
71%Activation oddsMissed58%Activation oddsEarned