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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107129050150200250110129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.20.9
38.537.7
Auto13.3
Teleop24.4
End7.2
blue by 6.9
52.10.4
51.952.3
Auto12.8
Teleop33.3
End5.5
Second
5427
#13
41.00.9
39.738.8
Auto11.5
Teleop21.9
End7.3
blue by 1.1
42.20.4
40.440.7
Auto10.5
Teleop23.5
End8.2
Third
9181
#40
21.00.9
24.924.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End5.7
blue by 2.0
9080
#38
23.00.4
26.326.7
Auto4.2
Teleop14.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
33%Sustainability oddsMissed37%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned