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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1108205010015020010197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3802
#23
41.20.1
36.036.1
Auto12.7
Teleop20.6
End7.9
blue by 5.9
3035
#16
47.11.1
40.741.8
Auto9.6
Teleop27.2
End10.3
Second
3679
#22
38.50.1
37.337.4
Auto10.7
Teleop18.1
End9.8
red by 10.4
2882
#35
28.21.1
18.319.4
Auto6.8
Teleop14.7
End6.7
Third
5613
#30
31.00.1
26.326.4
Auto8.3
Teleop15.9
End6.8
red by 11.0
9051
#36
20.01.1
21.122.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsEarned13%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned