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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11014150200250100169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9140
#10
42.50.8
38.237.3
Auto11.9
Teleop23.7
End6.5
blue by 10.7
1477
#18
53.21.2
51.352.5
Auto13.9
Teleop32.9
End5.9
Second
2689
#21
36.80.8
36.135.2
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End7.2
blue by 16.0
5414
#27
52.91.2
44.345.5
Auto10.6
Teleop34.9
End7.2
Third
4587
#25
30.00.8
33.032.2
Auto10.5
Teleop14.5
End4.9
blue by 8.2
4219
#20
38.21.2
33.134.3
Auto11.2
Teleop18.3
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsEarned54%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsMissed65%Activation oddsEarned