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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114865010015020012156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.91.2
36.337.4
Auto11.4
Teleop24.8
End6.6
red by 8.9
5923
#37
34.01.9
33.932.0
Auto8.5
Teleop21.4
End4.1
Second
9136
#15
41.11.2
35.736.9
Auto10.2
Teleop23.3
End7.7
red by 18.1
9080
#38
23.01.9
26.724.8
Auto4.2
Teleop14.2
End4.7
Third
9156
#26
32.51.2
31.532.7
Auto9.8
Teleop15.9
End6.7
red by 11.5
9181
#40
21.01.9
24.022.1
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
55%Sustainability oddsEarned30%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsMissed35%Activation oddsMissed