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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14812550100200162107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.91.4
62.363.7
Auto14.5
Teleop42.3
End8.4
red by 17.5
2582
#17
48.30.9
48.147.2
Auto13.4
Teleop25.7
End8.9
Second
3035
#16
47.11.4
41.843.2
Auto9.6
Teleop27.2
End10.3
red by 4.2
4063
#29
42.90.9
43.342.4
Auto10.4
Teleop24.7
End7.6
Third
1255
#33
30.41.4
32.033.4
Auto10.9
Teleop15.1
End4.4
red by 3.7
4639
#31
26.60.9
28.928.0
Auto8.7
Teleop12.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
79%Sustainability oddsEarned47%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned