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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1261218010014016018089134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#19
49.31.9
46.644.6
Auto10.9
Teleop30.1
End8.2
blue by 2.8
52.11.0
52.353.2
Auto12.8
Teleop33.3
End5.5
Second
3679
#22
38.51.9
37.435.5
Auto10.7
Teleop18.1
End9.8
blue by 2.5
5427
#13
41.01.0
38.839.8
Auto11.5
Teleop21.9
End7.3
Third
7540
#32
34.11.9
33.731.7
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End7.7
red by 6.5
8827
#28
27.61.0
23.024.0
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
71%Sustainability oddsMissed42%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned