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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13912180100160180200134135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6377
#14
54.70.4
52.252.6
Auto12.7
Teleop33.7
End8.2
red by 12.6
42.20.9
40.741.7
Auto10.5
Teleop23.5
End8.2
Second
5892
#11
43.70.4
44.945.3
Auto11.5
Teleop24.2
End8.0
red by 2.4
3802
#23
41.20.9
36.137.1
Auto12.7
Teleop20.6
End7.9
Third
9054
#34
28.50.4
29.930.3
Auto9.1
Teleop11.5
End8.1
blue by 12.1
8019
#12
40.60.9
39.140.0
Auto12.7
Teleop19.7
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
80%Sustainability oddsEarned35%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned