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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13111350100150200101100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#18
53.21.3
52.551.2
Auto13.9
Teleop32.9
End5.9
red by 1.1
52.10.9
53.252.4
Auto12.8
Teleop33.3
End5.5
Second
2689
#21
36.81.3
35.233.9
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End7.2
red by 4.3
9156
#26
32.50.9
32.731.8
Auto9.8
Teleop15.9
End6.7
Third
1255
#33
30.41.3
33.432.1
Auto10.9
Teleop15.1
End4.4
red by 9.4
9181
#40
21.00.9
22.121.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
49%Sustainability oddsEarned61%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsEarned