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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17911650100150200250187107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.91.1
63.764.9
Auto14.5
Teleop42.3
End8.4
red by 22.2
5892
#11
43.71.0
45.344.3
Auto11.5
Teleop24.2
End8.0
Second
6377
#14
54.71.1
52.653.7
Auto12.7
Teleop33.7
End8.2
red by 13.7
5427
#13
41.01.0
39.838.8
Auto11.5
Teleop21.9
End7.3
Third
5414
#27
52.91.1
45.546.6
Auto10.6
Teleop34.9
End7.2
red by 18.8
7540
#32
34.11.0
31.730.8
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsEarned62%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned