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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1558550100200250112111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.81.6
68.366.7
Auto16.0
Teleop41.3
End8.3
red by 24.5
3802
#23
41.20.2
37.136.9
Auto12.7
Teleop20.6
End7.9
Second
8019
#12
40.61.6
40.038.4
Auto12.7
Teleop19.7
End8.3
red by 12.1
9054
#34
28.50.2
30.330.1
Auto9.1
Teleop11.5
End8.1
Third
4639
#31
26.61.6
28.026.4
Auto8.7
Teleop12.7
End5.2
red by 0.4
7503
#39
26.20.2
21.521.3
Auto7.6
Teleop10.1
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned