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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841455010020011294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.21.7
41.743.4
Auto10.5
Teleop23.5
End8.2
blue by 11.2
53.32.6
50.047.3
Auto12.6
Teleop30.7
End10.1
Second
2882
#35
28.21.7
20.622.4
Auto6.8
Teleop14.7
End6.7
blue by 20.2
2582
#17
48.32.6
47.244.5
Auto13.4
Teleop25.7
End8.9
Third
8827
#28
27.61.7
24.025.7
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End8.7
blue by 2.4
4587
#25
30.02.6
32.229.6
Auto10.5
Teleop14.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsEarned70%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned