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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7914205010020025096126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7540
#32
34.10.6
30.831.4
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End7.7
blue by 20.7
6377
#14
54.70.6
53.753.1
Auto12.7
Teleop33.7
End8.2
Second
5613
#30
31.00.6
29.530.1
Auto8.3
Teleop15.9
End6.8
blue by 11.9
42.90.6
37.436.8
Auto11.4
Teleop24.8
End6.6
Third
9051
#36
20.00.6
21.722.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.9
End4.4
blue by 16.8
2689
#21
36.80.6
33.933.3
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsMissed85%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned