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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions991335015020025083148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4063
#29
42.92.6
44.241.6
Auto10.4
Teleop24.7
End7.6
blue by 4.0
46.91.2
44.045.1
Auto9.1
Teleop30.2
End7.1
Second
1255
#33
30.42.6
32.129.4
Auto10.9
Teleop15.1
End4.4
blue by 14.8
45.21.2
40.741.9
Auto13.3
Teleop24.4
End7.2
Third
9181
#40
21.02.6
21.218.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End5.7
blue by 21.5
9140
#10
42.51.2
38.339.4
Auto11.9
Teleop23.7
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsMissed46%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsMissed60%Activation oddsEarned