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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19210250150250145110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.81.9
66.764.7
Auto16.0
Teleop41.3
End8.3
red by 17.4
2582
#17
48.30.2
44.544.7
Auto13.4
Teleop25.7
End8.9
Second
52.11.9
52.450.5
Auto12.8
Teleop33.3
End5.5
red by 10.8
3802
#23
41.20.2
36.937.1
Auto12.7
Teleop20.6
End7.9
Third
6800
#24
51.21.9
50.448.5
Auto11.3
Teleop31.7
End8.2
red by 23.6
8827
#28
27.60.2
25.725.9
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned36%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
98%Activation oddsMissed92%Activation oddsEarned