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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1259650150200135120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9136
#15
41.11.1
40.241.3
Auto10.2
Teleop23.3
End7.7
blue by 0.1
3802
#23
41.21.1
38.339.4
Auto12.7
Teleop20.6
End7.9
Second
5427
#13
41.01.1
39.941.0
Auto11.5
Teleop21.9
End7.3
red by 10.7
1255
#33
30.41.1
29.130.2
Auto10.9
Teleop15.1
End4.4
Third
2689
#21
36.81.1
33.334.4
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End7.2
red by 8.7
2882
#35
28.21.1
26.227.3
Auto6.8
Teleop14.7
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
71%Sustainability oddsEarned22%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsMissed