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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93142050200102163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4063
#29
42.90.8
43.442.6
Auto10.4
Teleop24.7
End7.6
blue by 11.8
6377
#14
54.72.0
54.356.4
Auto12.7
Teleop33.7
End8.2
Second
9054
#34
28.50.8
28.427.6
Auto9.1
Teleop11.5
End8.1
blue by 12.1
8019
#12
40.62.0
39.641.6
Auto12.7
Teleop19.7
End8.3
Third
9080
#38
23.00.8
21.921.2
Auto4.2
Teleop14.2
End4.7
blue by 11.1
7540
#32
34.12.0
33.535.6
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
36%Sustainability oddsMissed79%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
69%Activation oddsMissed88%Activation oddsEarned