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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13110750150200147125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
#24
51.21.8
48.550.3
Auto11.3
Teleop31.7
End8.2
red by 4.1
3035
#16
47.10.8
45.746.5
Auto9.6
Teleop27.2
End10.3
Second
46.91.8
47.048.8
Auto9.1
Teleop30.2
End7.1
red by 14.4
9156
#26
32.50.8
32.032.8
Auto9.8
Teleop15.9
End6.7
Third
4639
#31
26.61.8
24.626.4
Auto8.7
Teleop12.7
End5.2
blue by 0.9
8827
#28
27.60.8
25.526.3
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
54%Sustainability oddsEarned56%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsMissed81%Activation oddsEarned