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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158127100150200142122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.30.2
51.150.9
Auto12.6
Teleop30.7
End10.1
blue by 12.5
65.90.1
66.266.1
Auto14.5
Teleop42.3
End8.4
Second
52.10.2
51.451.2
Auto12.8
Teleop33.3
End5.5
red by 13.5
3679
#22
38.50.1
37.037.0
Auto10.7
Teleop18.1
End9.8
Third
42.30.2
42.041.8
Auto9.5
Teleop24.3
End8.6
red by 21.4
9181
#40
21.00.1
19.819.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsEarned82%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned