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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14211350100200124113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5892
#11
43.70.4
45.745.3
Auto11.5
Teleop24.2
End8.0
blue by 5.6
324
#19
49.30.2
49.549.7
Auto10.9
Teleop30.1
End8.2
Second
9140
#10
42.50.4
40.039.6
Auto11.9
Teleop23.7
End6.5
red by 1.4
9136
#15
41.10.2
41.341.5
Auto10.2
Teleop23.3
End7.7
Third
42.20.4
44.243.8
Auto10.5
Teleop23.5
End8.2
red by 22.1
9051
#36
20.00.2
18.919.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
69%Sustainability oddsEarned68%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsEarned