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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10112450150200130131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3802
#23
41.21.8
39.441.2
Auto12.7
Teleop20.6
End7.9
blue by 7.1
2582
#17
48.30.9
46.647.4
Auto13.4
Teleop25.7
End8.9
Second
4219
#20
38.21.8
36.838.6
Auto11.2
Teleop18.3
End8.7
blue by 4.8
42.90.9
39.140.0
Auto11.4
Teleop24.8
End6.6
Third
9080
#38
23.01.8
21.223.0
Auto4.2
Teleop14.2
End4.7
blue by 5.2
2882
#35
28.20.9
27.328.2
Auto6.8
Teleop14.7
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
38%Sustainability oddsEarned73%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned