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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1341116080100120160180200127102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.10.1
51.251.1
Auto12.8
Teleop33.3
End5.5
red by 9.1
4063
#29
42.90.3
42.642.3
Auto10.4
Teleop24.7
End7.6
Second
8019
#12
40.60.1
41.641.6
Auto12.7
Teleop19.7
End8.3
red by 8.1
9156
#26
32.50.3
32.832.5
Auto9.8
Teleop15.9
End6.7
Third
4587
#25
30.00.1
30.130.0
Auto10.5
Teleop14.5
End4.9
blue by 1.0
5613
#30
31.00.3
31.331.0
Auto8.3
Teleop15.9
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
69%Sustainability oddsMissed52%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned