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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103115050150200117120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#18
53.21.2
52.453.6
Auto13.9
Teleop32.9
End5.9
red by 10.9
42.30.9
41.842.7
Auto9.5
Teleop24.3
End8.6
Second
8827
#28
27.61.2
26.327.6
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End8.7
blue by 11.0
3679
#22
38.50.9
37.037.9
Auto10.7
Teleop18.1
End9.8
Third
9181
#40
21.01.2
19.721.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End5.7
blue by 7.6
9054
#34
28.50.9
27.628.5
Auto9.1
Teleop11.5
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
44%Sustainability oddsMissed60%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned