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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135174100150200250171171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.3
Auto12.6
Teleop30.7
End10.1
blue by 12.4
65.8
Auto16.0
Teleop41.3
End8.3
Second
3035
#16
47.1
Auto9.6
Teleop27.2
End10.3
blue by 7.7
6377
#14
54.7
Auto12.7
Teleop33.7
End8.2
Third
2689
#21
36.8
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End7.2
blue by 5.7
9140
#10
42.5
Auto11.9
Teleop23.7
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsEarned96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsMissed95%Activation oddsEarned