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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185137100150200250172157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.90.1
65.265.3
Auto14.5
Teleop42.3
End8.4
red by 13.8
52.10.5
51.151.6
Auto12.8
Teleop33.3
End5.5
Second
65.80.1
65.165.2
Auto16.0
Teleop41.3
End8.3
red by 17.4
2582
#17
48.30.5
47.447.9
Auto13.4
Teleop25.7
End8.9
Third
3679
#22
38.50.1
37.938.0
Auto10.7
Teleop18.1
End9.8
blue by 2.5
5427
#13
41.00.5
40.140.6
Auto11.5
Teleop21.9
End7.3