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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1441366080100120160180200220177168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.31.0
50.951.9
Auto12.6
Teleop30.7
End10.1
red by 0.5
5414
#27
52.90.9
49.950.8
Auto10.6
Teleop34.9
End7.2
Second
6800
#24
51.21.0
48.849.7
Auto11.3
Teleop31.7
End8.2
red by 8.3
42.90.9
40.040.9
Auto11.4
Teleop24.8
End6.6
Third
2689
#21
36.81.0
34.435.4
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End7.2
blue by 5.7
9140
#10
42.50.9
39.640.5
Auto11.9
Teleop23.7
End6.5