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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071186080100140160141104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2881
#24
51.52.6
43.346.0
Auto11.1
Teleop33.7
End6.2
blue by 19.8
3005
#12
71.40.7
68.868.1
Auto15.9
Teleop46.6
End7.8
Second
5572
#19
37.12.6
34.937.5
Auto11.5
Teleop20.4
End5.3
red by 7.6
4192
#35
29.50.7
27.126.5
Auto5.8
Teleop18.0
End5.9
Third
7506
#36
28.12.6
23.426.0
Auto8.2
Teleop15.8
End4.1
red by 8.8
7312
#37
19.40.7
13.212.6
Auto8.2
Teleop5.5
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsEarned41%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsMissed