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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881285010015020096133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8858
#29
37.50.5
31.532.1
Auto9.0
Teleop21.0
End7.3
blue by 16.3
5411
#10
53.81.2
46.547.7
Auto12.0
Teleop33.2
End8.2
Second
2587
#20
30.50.5
30.130.6
Auto8.8
Teleop14.6
End7.2
blue by 17.5
48.01.2
41.142.3
Auto9.6
Teleop29.9
End8.4
Third
6901
#31
29.20.5
26.226.7
Auto7.6
Teleop13.7
End8.0
blue by 1.4
8088
#34
30.61.2
28.429.6
Auto9.1
Teleop15.2
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned