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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12111150100150200122143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
67.60.7
61.962.5
Auto17.2
Teleop40.0
End9.3
red by 8.3
624
#2
59.32.5
43.145.6
Auto14.6
Teleop34.1
End10.5
Second
6901
#31
29.20.7
26.727.4
Auto7.6
Teleop13.7
End8.0
blue by 9.9
8576
#15
39.12.5
31.333.9
Auto11.7
Teleop20.4
End6.9
Third
5503
#23
25.00.7
23.223.9
Auto4.9
Teleop9.1
End11.2
blue by 5.5
2587
#20
30.52.5
30.633.1
Auto8.8
Teleop14.6
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
43%Sustainability oddsEarned16%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsEarned