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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11612750100150200135114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.51.3
42.243.5
Auto14.0
Teleop27.3
End6.9
blue by 16.8
148
#11
65.40.3
60.059.8
Auto13.5
Teleop44.1
End7.1
Second
5829
#18
34.11.3
36.637.9
Auto9.9
Teleop18.1
End6.3
blue by 3.4
8858
#29
37.50.3
32.131.8
Auto9.0
Teleop21.0
End7.3
Third
2583
#33
32.91.3
31.633.0
Auto7.1
Teleop17.7
End8.0
red by 4.8
7506
#36
28.10.3
26.025.7
Auto8.2
Teleop15.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned51%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned