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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211076080100140160180144106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#26
39.22.2
37.840.0
Auto10.4
Teleop22.2
End6.7
blue by 25.5
64.70.1
59.859.7
Auto12.7
Teleop43.3
End8.4
Second
5417
#14
38.62.2
37.739.9
Auto11.2
Teleop20.3
End6.8
red by 8.5
8573
#30
30.10.1
28.128.0
Auto7.7
Teleop17.3
End5.2
Third
4153
#32
38.32.2
36.238.3
Auto9.2
Teleop21.0
End8.2
red by 20.8
5682
#39
17.60.1
14.314.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsEarned36%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsEarned